Thursday, September 17, 2009
Thursday, June 18, 2009
What economics books should a non-economist read?
Some non-economics books I like and that have some academic value:
Thursday, June 4, 2009
Daily Item article on Employment in the Valley
Region's jobless rate improves
By Tricia Pursell
The Daily Item
June 02, 2009 06:36 am— Regional unemployment improved in April, but was still worse than the state and national averages, according to the Pennsylvania Department of Labor & Industry.
"We have been hurt very hard with manufacturing losses here," said Matthew Rousu, assistant professor of economics at Susquehanna University in Selinsgrove. "There are some sectors of the economy that haven't been hit as hard."
Snyder County's unemployment rate for April was 8.7 percent, an improvement from 9.1 percent in March -- a difference of 100 jobs.
In Northumberland County, the April rate was 9.6 percent, compared to 9.7 percent in March, and in Union County, the April rate was 8.8 percent compared to 9.4 percent in March.
Montour County bucked the trend. Its jobless rate got worse, going from 6.3 percent in March to 6.8 percent in April.
The state unemployment rate is 7.6 percent, and the national jobless rate is 8.6 percent.
April was the most recent month for which seasonally adjusted figures were available.
The seasonally adjusted rate, according to Scott Meckley, with the Center for Workforce Information & Analysis, is used to check trends without the typical factors of job gain and loss at certain times of the year, such as construction declining in the winter and retail employment spiking over the holidays.
The unemployment rate numbers are not going to fluctuate too dramatically, Rousu said. They are numbers that move slowly beyond the overall economic condition of the nation. Little by little, the rates may drop, but "there are some areas that are still going to experience pain," he said.
A survey of economists that was published last week showed they all thought the recession would be over within nine months, Rousu said.
"Some are even thinking it's over," he said. "However, the unemployment rate is a lagging indicator. Even when the economy gets better, the unemployment rate is not going to improve as quickly as the economy improves.
"The reason is likely because employers err on the side of caution. "Firms are just trying to survive," he said. "It takes longer to catch up once the economy recovers."
When the most recent recession ended in 2001, the highest unemployment rate did not come until the middle of 2003, Rousu said.
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
Article - Should online poker be illegal?
Friday, April 3, 2009
Unemployment rate in Susquehanna Valley
http://www.dailyitem.com/archivesearch/local_story_090072237.html/resources_printstory
Valley’s jobless rate rises
By Jaime North
The Daily Item
March 31, 2009 07:20 am— Unemployment rose in the Valley for the fifth straight month in February and will probably get worse, a state official said Monday.
Northumberland County had the highest jobless rate at 10.9 percent, and Montour County posted the lowest at 9 percent. Snyder County’s rate was 10.4 percent, while Union County’s was 9.9, according to the state Department of Labor & Industry.
And the worst is yet to come, according to Scott Meckley, an analyst with state Department of Labor and Industry’s Center for Workforce Information and Analysis.
“It’s a broad-based decline right now with every area in the state pretty much acting the same way,” Meckley said. “Based on what other economic groups have forecasted, we’re probably not at the peak yet. How far it’s going to continue, we’re not sure. Prognosticating is not what we do.”
Meckley said there has been indications the national unemployment rate is expecting to continue to rise. As a result, Pennsylvania will likely follow suit, he said.
“To say we peaked may be a little early,” Meckley said. “I’d like to think that would be the case, but doubt that is the true forecast.”
Valley unemployment rates for February were higher than state and national rates, which were at 7.5 percent and 8.1 percent respectively.
Local unemployment rates ranged from 4.6 percent to 5.7 percent in September, according to state data.
According to Meckley, the health care sector appears to be the lone survivor of the current economic recession among the larger job markets.
The Department of Labor & Industry reported jobs in education and health services grew by 2.4 percent in the north central region, which includes the Valley, slightly ahead of the statewide gain of 1.9 percent in that area.
“It’s simply because of the demand for jobs,” Meckley said. “Pennsylvania has an older population, so there is a need for health care jobs.”
Meckley said a growing number of displaced workers are heading back to school.
“The best thing is to start looking at changing careers, maybe furthering education or taking advantage of training offers,” Meckley said. “We know the health care sector is recruiting people who are working in other industries.
“More people are starting to think about changing careers, instead of looking for another factory job or finance job.”
Monday, March 30, 2009
I will be in two upcoming panel discussions on the economy
Wednesday, March 31st: 7:00 PM. Susquehanna University, Isaacs Auditorium.
Wednesday, May 13th: Time/location TBD.
